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Saints vs. Eagles Game Storylines | 2024 NFL Week 3

Can Jalen Hurts and the Eagles bounce back on the road or will the Saints offense keep marching in historic fashion? Will Marshon Lattimore return for matchup with DeVonta Smith? Who wins the running back battle between Alvin Kamara and Saquon Barkley?

derek-carr-jalen-hurts-saints-vs-eagles-2024-nfl-week-3

Saints vs. Eagles Recent History

The Saints have won each of the last two games at home vs the Eagles

  • Last meeting in New Orleans was Week 11, 2018 (Saints 48-7 win)
  • Each of the prior three meetings was played in Philadelphia

Saints won the last matchup in Week 17, 2022 at PHI (20-10)

  • Starting QBs: NO Andy Dalton vs PHI Gardner Minshew
  • Jalen Hurts missed Weeks 16-17 with a shoulder injury (PHI lost both games)
  • NO TDs: Taysom Hill 1-yd rush TD & Marshon Lattimore 12-yd INT return

Will the Saints offense keep marching in historic fashion?

The Saints have started 2-0 in consecutive seasons for the first time since 2009-10

  • 2023 Saints: Started 2-0, finished 9-8 and missed playoffs

Saints started 3-0 three times with Sean Payton as the head coach (2006, 2009, 2013)

  • Last season the Saints lost in Week 3 at GB 18-17 to start their season 2-1

The Saints have not won five straight games since a nine-game win streak in 2020

  • 2020 is the Saints last playoff appearance (went 12-4, lost in Div Rd)

44 points are the most scored on the road by NO since Week 10, 2018 at CIN (51 pts)

  • Most points allowed at home by the Cowboys since Week 4, 2020 vs CLE (49 pts)

Saints are the fifth team in NFL history to score 44+ points in three straight games

  • 48 pts Wk 18, 2023 vs ATL, 47 pts Wk 1 vs CAR & 44 pts Week 2 at DAL
Teams to Score 44+ Points in 3 Straight Games in NFL History

Season(s)Playoff Result
Saints2023-24????
Saints2018
L, NFC Championship Game
Patriots2007
L, Super Bowl XLII
Browns1968
L, NFL Championship Game
Bears1941
W, NFL Championship

The Saints have scored 91 points combined in their first two games of the season

  • T-2nd-most points scored in first two games of a season since the 1970 merger
  • Each of the prior two teams to score 91+ pts in the first two games won the Super Bowl
  • 2009 Saints (won Super Bowl XLIV) and 1971 Cowboys (won Super Bowl VI)
Most Points Scored in First 2 Games of Season Since 1970 Merger

SeasonPoints
Saints>200993
Saints202491
Cowboys>197191
> Won Super Bowl

The Saints are top two in PPG (first), third down pct (second) & red zone TD pct (second) in 2024

Saints Offense 2024 Season
 2024 SeasonNFL Rank
PPG (Points Per Game)45.51st
Total YPG (Yards Per Game)405.54th
Rush YPG (Rush Yards Per Game)1853rd
3rd Down Pct (3rd Down Conversion Percentage)57.12nd
Red Zone TD Pct (Red Zone Touchdown Percentage)88.92nd

PHI is 1-7 since 2018 when facing the No. 1 scoring off. entering the week (inc. playoffs)

  • Lone win was Week 7, 2023 vs the Dolphins (31-17 win at home)
  • Last road win vs the No. 1 scoring offense was Week 14, 2017 at LAR (43-35 win)

Saints replaced Pete Carmichael with first-year OC Klint Kubiak in February

  • Kubiak was the 49ers passing game coordinator in 2023
  • Klint Kubiak is the son of former Texans & Broncos head coach Gary Kubiak
Saints Offense since 2023

2023>2024
40+ Pt Games12
Yards/Play5.16.9
3rd Down Pct38.757.1
Shift/Motion Pct4576.5
> Hired Klint Kubiak as OC

NGS: Saints have used motion on 88 of their 115 offensive snaps in 2024 (76.5 pct)

  • Saints are using motion at the 10th-highest rate in 2024
  • Saints used motion on 45.0 pct of snaps in 2023 (sixth-fewest)
  • All five of the Saints pass TD have come when using motion in 2024 (Most in NFL)
Saints Offense Using Motion 2024 Season, Next Gen Stats


Rank
Pass Yds/Att11.91st
Pass TD51st
Passer Rating139.11st

NGS: 80.5 pct of NO offensive plays have been run or play action (highest in NFL)

  • Saints have run play action on 16.9 pct of snaps (fourth-most)
  • NO on play action: 10.7 yds/att, 2 TD, 1 INT, 116.2 passer rating

Derek Carr leads the NFL in pass yds/att, pass TD (tied) and passer rating in 2024

Derek Carr 2024 Season
  Rank
QB W-L2-0T-1st
Comp Pct76.92nd
Pass Yds/Att11.41st
Pass TD5T-1st
Passer Rating142.41st

Carr is the fourth player since the 1970 merger to have a 140+ passer rating and have his team score 45+ PPG in a 3-game span

QBs with 140+ Passer Rtg & Team Scoring 45+ PPG In 3-Game Span, Since 1970
Player/TeamSeason/WeeksPasser RtgTeam PPG
Derek Carr (NO)Wk 18, 2023-Wk 2, 202414446.3
Lamar Jackson (BAL)Wks 10-12, 2019147.845
Drew Brees (NO)Wks 9-11, 2018149.548
Tom Brady (NE)Wks 6-8, 2007143.749.7
> Brady & Jackson won MVP in their season (Brees was runner-up)

Carr is the fifth QB in the Super Bowl era to have a 75+ comp pct and 140+ passer rating in the first two team games of the season (min. 35 pass attempts)

  • He joins SEA Russell Wilson (2020), DAL Dak Prescott (2019), TB Ryan Fitzpatrick (2018) and GB Lynn Dickey (1983)

Carr has thrown two+ pass TD in seven straight games (longest active streak)

  • Tied for the longest streak in the NFL since 2022
  • Last player with two+ pass TD in eight straight games was Joe Burrow from Wks 1-8, 2021

Carr leads all QBs with 17 pass TD & a 129.9 passer rating since Week 15, 2023

  • No other QB has 15+ pass TD or a 120+ passer rtg in that span (min. 75 pass att)
Derek Carr Since Week 15, 2023
  > NFL Rank
Completion Pct75.51st
Pass TD171st
Passer Rating129.91st
> Among 32 QBs with 75+ pass att since Week 15, 2023

Carr averaged 22.1 yards/completion in Week 2 at DAL (Career-high)

  • Most by a player with 10+ completions since Baker Mayfield in Week 17, 2019
  • Second-highest yards/comp by a player in NO history (23.5 by John Fourcade in 1990)

The Saints offensive line has a 90.9 PFF offensive grade in 2024 (Best in NFL)

  • Saints OL has a 90.5 run block grade (Best) and 77.2 pass block grade (6th)
  • Saints have allowed two sacks (T-fewest) & three QB hits (T-fewest) in 2024
  • Saints OL had a 64.8 offensive grade in 2023, per PFF (18th in NFL)
Saints Offensive Line 2024 Season
  Rank
PFF Offensive Grade90.9Best
Sacks Allowed2T-Fewest
QB Hits Allowed3T-Fewest
QB Pressures Allowed>11Fewest
> Per Next Gen Stats

C Erik McCoy (95.5) and G Lucas Patrick (92.6) have the two highest offensive grades among offensive linemen in 2024, per PFF

Highest Offensive Grades Offensive Linemen, 2024 Season (PFF)

Grade
Erik McCoy, NO95.5
Lucas Patrick, NO92.6
Creed Humphrey, KC91.5
Will Fries, IND90.6
Charles Cross, SEA90.3

Can Jalen Hurts and the Eagles bounce back on the road after the late Week 2 loss?

The Eagles lost to the Falcons in Week 2 after having a 21-15 lead with 0:43 left

  • According to the Next Gen Stats win probability model, the Eagles had a 99.3 pct chance of winning the game with 1:56 left in the 4th qtr
  • That was the seventh-highest improbable loss in the NGS era (since 2016)

Prior to the Week 2 loss, the Eagles had won 82 straight games when leading by 6+ points at any point in the 4th qtr with 2 minutes or less remaining

  • Previous such loss was Week 17, 2010 vs DAL (led 13-7 with 0:56 left, lost 14-13)

The Eagles are 6-2 when playing on short rest since 2022 (5 or fewer off days)

  • Only team with more such wins is the Bills (7-1)
  • Saints are 1-5 vs. teams coming off a short week under Dennis Allen (1-3 in 2023)

Week 2 vs ATL was the Eagles first loss when Jalen Hurts had 85+ rush yards in the game

  • Hurts: 85 rush yards vs ATL was the 5th-most in his career

PHI lost their last 4 road games in 2023, incl. playoffs (at DAL, at SEA, at NYG, at TB)

  • Longest road losing streak for the Eagles since 2020 (lost 6 straight road games)
  • Note: Does not include Week 1 vs GB game in Brazil
Philadelphia Eagles on the Road 2023 Season, Including Playoffs

First 5 Games> Last 4 Games
W-L5-10-4
PPG24.312.3
PPG Allowed18.828
TO Diff-4-7
> Includes Wild Card loss at TB

Hurts and Saquon Barkley are one of three teammate duos to have 100+ rush yards and one+ rush TD in the first 2 weeks of the 2024 season

  • Also DET Jahmyr Gibbs & David Montgomery, WAS Jayden Daniels & Brian Robinson Jr.

Hurts has thrown an INT in each of his last six regular season games (Wk 15, 2023 – Wk 2)

  • Longest INT streak in Hurts' career (Prev long was 3-game streak in Wks 5-7, 2023)
  • No other QB to start in 2024 has an active INT streak longer than two games

Hurts has the most giveaways in the NFL since the start of the 2023 season (24 TO)

  • Most TO since 2023: Hurts (24), Sam Howell (23) & Josh Allen (23)
  • The Saints defense has 34 takeaways since 2023 (T-most in NFL with BUF)
Jalen Hurts Since 2022
 20222023-24
QB W-L14-112-7
Comp Pct66.565.6
Pass YPG246.7227.3
Pass TD-INT22-626-18
Passer Rating101.588.6
Giveaways824

Will Marshon Lattimore return for matchup with DeVonta Smith?

Marshon Lattimore missed Week 2 at DAL with a hamstring injury suffered in Week 1

  • Lattimore missed the final seven games in 2023 with an ankle injury
  • Lattimore has missed 18 of 36 regular season games since 2022

Lattimore has four INT and a pick-6 in five career games vs PHI (including playoffs)

  • Most INT vs any opponent Lattimore has faced in his career (incl. playoffs)
  • Lattimore had two INT in the 2018 Div Round vs PHI (only career 2+ INT game)

A.J. Brown missed the Eagles Week 2 loss vs the Falcons (hamstring injury)

  • Week 2 was the first game Brown has missed since Week 15, 2021 (w/TEN)
  • Brown had 5 rec, 119 rec yds and 1 rec TD in Week 1 vs GB
  • Brown is expected to miss a couple of weeks with the injury

DeVonta Smith led the Eagles with 7 rec, 76 rec yds and 1 rec TD in Week 2 vs ATL

  • Smith has 7+ rec and 75+ rec yds in each of the first 2 games in 2024

Smith's 14 receptions through Week 2 are T-5th most in the NFL

  • Smith: 1 of 3 players w/ 7+ rec in Wks 1 & 2 (TB Chris Godwin, MIA De'Von Achane)

Smith had nine rec for 115 rec yards in Week 17, 2022 vs NO (T-second-most rec in career)

  • Smith had five rec for 44 yards when Lattimore was in coverage, per PFF (eight targets)

Saquon Barkley & Alvin Kamara in matchup of veteran running backs

Alvin Kamara and Saquon Barkley are 2 of just 8 active players w/ 1,500+ career touches

Alvin Kamara and Saquon Barkley Ranks Among Active RB
 KamaraBarkley
Touches4th8th
Rush Yards8th10th
Rec Yards2nd8th
Scrimmage TD3rd11th
Scrimmage Yards4th9th

Kamara leads the NFL with 290 scrimmage yds and 5 scrimmage TD in 2024

  • Barkley and BUF James Cook are both 2nd with 3 scrimmage TD
  • Kamara played in both Weeks 1 & 2 for the first time since 2021
  • Kamara's 290 scrimmage yds & 5 TDs are both most through Week 2 in his career
Scrimmage Yards Leaders 2024 Season

Yards
NO Alvin Kamara290
LAC J.K. Dobbins270
MIA De’Von Achane265
Scrimmage TD Leaders 2024 Season
 TDs
NO Alvin Kamara5
PHI Saquon Barkley3
BUF James Cook3

Kamara had 115 rush yards, three rush TD, 65 rec yards and one rec TD in Week 2 at DAL

  • Kamara's second career game with 4+ scrimmage TD (Week 16, 2020 vs MIN)

Kamara is the first player since KC Kareem Hunt in 2017 to have 275+ scrimmage yards & 5+ scrimmage TD in his team's first 2 games of the season

  • Kamara is the sixth player in the last 40 seasons to do it
Players with 275+ Scrim Yds & 5+ Scrim TD First 2 Games, Last 40 Seasons
 SeasonYardsTD
NO Alvin Kamara20242905
KC Kareem Hunt20173555
KC Priest Holmes20033115
HOF Emmitt Smith19953125
HOF Thurman Thomas19923156
SF Roger Craig19853345

Week 3 will be Kamara's 5th game vs the Eagles in his career (incl. playoffs)

  • Kamara has had 80+ scrimmage yards in every game vs PHI (2 scrim TD)

Barkley was held to 14 rush yards and 23 rec yards vs NO in Week 15, 2023 (w/NYG)

  • Was the fewest rush yards and scrimmage yards Barkley had in any 2023 game

The Saints defense has allowed 63.0 rush YPG (3rd in NFL)

  • NO hasn't allowed a rusher to have more than 30 yds in either of the first 2 games
  • Leading rushers: Miles Sanders (22 yds in Wk 1) & Rico Dowdle (30 yds in Wk 2)

Saints are only team to hold both of their opponents to less than 70 rush yds in 2024

  • Last time 3+ straight: Weeks 9-11, 2020 (Only happened 8 times in NO history)

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